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Election 2026

A state-by-state guide to the contests, ballot fights, and election-rule changes that will shape voting, courts, healthcare, education, and civil liberties.

435
House seats
35
Senate seats
36
governor races
100
ballot measures certified

What's at Stake

This is not just about party control. It is about who controls the institutions that determine voting rules, court appointments, Medicaid, school funding, and abortion access for the next decade.

The Size of the Fight
The Size of the Fight
ProgramAmount
House seats435
Senate seats35
Governor races36
Open governors17
Legislatures88
Ballot measures100

Every House seat and 35 Senate seats are on the ballot. 17 governor races have no incumbent. 88 of 99 state legislative chambers are in play.

States Rewriting Election Rules Before November
States Rewriting Election Rules Before November
ProgramAmount
Voter-roll changes32
Mail voting limits26
Citizenship proof14
Early voting limits12

These rules are already changing how people vote. State lawmakers are moving quickly so changes take effect before primaries.

The Rules Are Changing Now

26
states restricting mail voting
32
states changing voter rolls
14
states requiring citizenship proof
12
states limiting early voting

State legislatures are pushing voting-rule bills while candidate fields form. The biggest fight is over who can vote, how they register, and how easy it is to stay on the rolls. 21.3 million Americans cannot easily prove citizenship to register. Ohio and Texas are purging voter rolls with error-prone data matching.

Ballot Measures May Matter More Than Candidates

Abortion at the Ballot Box Since Dobbs

Result
Ballot measures on abortion rights (2022-2024)Every one passed
Performance vs. Democratic candidatesOutperforms by 4-8 points
Florida 2024: 57% voted yesFailed. State requires 60% threshold.
States considering 2026 abortion measures6
States considering LGBTQ measures9

Voters support rights even when they split on candidates. But some states are raising thresholds to make measures harder to pass. South Dakota passed 11 laws to restrict ballot measures in 6 years. Missouri's legislature is trying to override voter-approved protections.

States to Watch

17
open governor seats (most likely to flip)
88
of 99 legislative chambers in play
16
net seats shifted by gerrymandering
States Where the Fight Gets Decided
States Where the Fight Gets Decided
ProgramAmount
Pennsylvania4
Georgia4
Michigan3
Texas3
North Carolina3
Wisconsin2
Nevada2
Arizona2

Number of pivotal races per state (governor, Senate, House, state legislature). These states determine national power.

Key Battleground States

StateKey raceWhy it matters
PennsylvaniaGovernor + SenateCould shape House, Senate, and state power for a decade
MichiganGovernorCore battleground for state and national control
GeorgiaGovernor + SenateRedistricting, election rules, and the Callais aftermath
TexasSenate (Paxton vs Talarico)First competitive TX Senate race in decades
WisconsinGovernorMap-making state. Courts, redistricting, election admin.
North CarolinaGovernor + SenateSwing state where outcomes set the tone for rights fights

What Happens When

Election 2026 Calendar

WhenWhat happensWhy it matters
Jan-MarchFiling windows close, voting-rule bills moveThe rules that govern November are being set now
March 3First major primary dateEarly states set momentum and national narrative
SpringBallot measures certifiedAbortion, voting, minimum wage go to voters
SummerPrimaries, runoffs, fields narrowLast chance to shape the candidate matchups
OctoberRegistration deadlines, early voting beginsLast window to participate
November 3Election DayResults determine policy for 2027-2028
January 3, 2027New Congress convenesPolicy direction set for the next two years

Latest in This Series

Voting Urgent May 30, 2026

8 States Now Require Papers to Vote. More Bills Are Coming.

Eight states now require passports or birth certificates to vote. Five passed new laws in 2026. 21 million citizens lack the documents.

Civil Rights Urgent May 30, 2026

19 Congressional Seats, 191 State Seats: The Nationwide Cost of Callais

District-by-district breakdown of seats at risk after the Supreme Court gutted the VRA. Nine states are moving. Here are the numbers.

Voting Urgent May 28, 2026

An Executive Order Could Block 46 Million Mail Voters. A Federal Judge Declined to Stop It.

An executive order directs USPS to refuse mail ballots unless voters appear on a federal list. 46 million Americans voted by mail in 2024. The databases that would build the list have documented error rates. A federal judge declined to block it because no one has been harmed yet.

Voting May 27, 2026

Ruby Freeman Packed Up and Left the Home She Lived in for 20 Years. She Was a Poll Worker Who Counted Votes.

1 in 6 election officials have experienced threats. 1 in 5 said they were likely to leave before 2024. Ruby Freeman was forced into hiding. The DOJ charged 20 people. The threats have not stopped.

Red States May 27, 2026

Virginia Passed an Assault Weapons Ban, Put Abortion Rights on the Ballot, and Banned Police From Working With ICE

Governor Spanberger signed 25 bills including the 11th state assault weapons ban, marijuana sentencing reform, and immigrant worker protections. Abortion rights amendment goes to voters November 3.

Red States Updated May 27, 2026

Johnson vs. Middleton: The November Fight for Texas Attorney General

Nathan Johnson wants the AG office to protect consumers. Mayes Middleton wants it to go further right than Paxton. November decides.

19 briefs in this series →

Your November Game Plan

The election is national. The stakes are local. The rules are changing now.